基于HYSPLIT4的一次四川盆地夏季暴雨水汽路径和源地分析   总被引：12，自引：6，他引：6  

王佳津  王春学  陈朝平  任伟 《气象》2015,41(11):1315-1327

利用四川省156站气象资料、全球同化系统(GDAS)资料,引入拉格朗日混合单粒子轨道模型(HYSPLIT4),定量分析了2013年7月7—11日四川盆地西部暴雨的水汽输送情况。结果表明：此次暴雨过程的水汽主要来自950和850 hPa,并且两者的水汽路径和来源有着显著差别。后向追踪1天,950和850 hPa的水汽来源大值区都出现在四川盆地区;追踪3天,950 hPa的水汽来源大值区仍然在四川盆地附近,但是850 hPa上则追踪到孟加拉湾东部;追踪到9天时,950 hPa的水汽主要来源出现在阿拉伯海到我国南海地区,850 hPa上则追踪到索马里半岛东部。总体上950 hPa的水汽输送路径有五条,其中两条是北方路径,另外三条为南方路径。850 hPa的水汽输送路径有两条,一条是北方路径,另一条是南方路径。定量分析指出,950 hPa的水汽源地主要有四个,其中阿拉伯海—孟加拉湾地区的水汽输送贡献率最大（44.1%）,中南半岛—南海地区的水汽贡献率次之（33.1%）,巴尔喀什湖地区（15.7%）和贝加尔湖地区（7.1%）的水汽贡献率相对较弱。850 hPa上的水汽源地也有四个,其中从阿拉伯海地区,沿南亚夏季风爆发路径而来的暖湿空气最重要（89.4%）,其次从西北部巴尔喀什湖—贝加尔湖地区而来的干冷空气相对较弱（6.3%）,而来自孟加拉湾（3%）和局地（1.3%）的水汽则非常少。  相似文献   

利用MODIS卫星产品分析西南地区云水特征     

林丹 《气象科技》2015,43(1):138-144

采用NASA Goddard Earth Science DAAC发布的2001—2010年MODIS水云云水含量和水云粒子有效半径资料, 选取西南地区（四川、重庆、云南、贵州）,分析了水云云水含量和水云粒子有效半径的多年平均空间分布特征,对年和季节平均水云云水含量和粒子有效半径进行了线性趋势分析,并进行了显著性检验。结果表明：西南地区年和季节多年平均云水含量在海拔高的地方偏少,在海拔低的地方偏多;年和季节多年平均粒子有效半径的空间分布特征与云水含量相反。云水含量具有季节差异性,秋季和夏季是云水含量最丰富的季节,春季和冬季较少;粒子有效半径的季节差异较小。10年中云水含量呈减少趋势,春季和冬季云水含量减少趋势明显;而粒子有效半径无显著变化趋势。  相似文献   

动态城市交通网络优化模型研究及算法设计   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

宋留勇  王锐  周永旺  公茂玉 《测绘科学》2011,36(1):134-136

在城市交通网络中,行车路线所耗时间是用户关心的关键因素之一.本文构建了基于时间因素的城市交通网络模型,为反映交通网络随时间动态变化的特性,网络模型中弧的权重是和时间统计变量相关.本文设计了交通网络模型算法,并对算法进行了详细的论述.针对实际交通网络的行驶线路选择人群中乐观型、保守型和折中型,给出了路线选择的简化模型.文...  相似文献   

基于GIS的Dijkstra改进算法及其在交通导航系统中的应用     

姜凤辉  李树军  姜凤娇  高诗亮  张志玮 《测绘与空间地理信息》2011,34(4):129-131

最短路径分析是GIS空间分析中最基本和最关键的问题,Dijkstra算法是有效解决该问题的理论基础。本文基于GIS空间分析特征,从数据存储结构、搜索技术及网络算法本身等方面对传统Dijkstra算法进行了优化与改进,并对该算法在交通导航系统中的应用进行了探讨。  相似文献   

Modeling of the Second Indirect Effect of Anthropogenic Aerosols in East Asia          下载免费PDF全文

WU Peng-Ping  HAN Zhi-Wei 《大气和海洋科学快报》2011,4(6):316-323

This study investigated the second indirect climatic effect of anthropogenic aerosols,including sulfate,organic carbon(OC) ,and black carbon(BC) ,over East Asia.The seasonal variation of the climatic response to the second indirect effect was also characterized.The simulation period for this study was 2006.Due to a decrease in autoconversion rate from cloud water to rain as a result of aerosols,the cloud liquid water path(LWP) ,and radiative flux(RF) at the top of the atmosphere(TOA) changed dramatically,increasing by 14.3 g m-2 and decreasing by-4.1 W m-2 in terms of domain and annual average.Both LWP and RF changed most in autumn. There were strong decreases in ground temperature in Southwest China,the middle reaches of the Yangtze River in spring and autumn,while maximum cooling of up to-1.5 K occurred in the Chongqing district.The regional and annual mean change in ground temperature reached-0.2 K over eastern China.In all seasons except summer,precipitation generally decreased in most areas north of the Yangtze River,whereas precipitation changed little in South China.Precipitation changed most in summer,with alternating bands of increasing(～40 mm) and decreasing(～40 mm) precipitation appearing in eastern China.Precipitation decreased by 1.5-40 mm over large areas of Northeast China and the Huabei Plain.The domain and annual mean change in precipitation was approximately-0.3 mm over eastern China.The maximum reduction in precipitation occurred in summer,with mean absolute and relative changes of-1.2 mm and-3.8%over eastern China.This study revealed considerable climate responses to the second indirect effect of aerosols over specific regions of China.  相似文献   

SENSITIVITY AND PATH DEPENDENCE OF MOUNTAIN PERMAFROST SYSTEMS     

SARAH VERLEYSDONK  MICHAEL KRAUTBLATTER  RICHARD DIKAU 《Geografiska Annaler: Series A, Physical Geography》2011,93(2):113-135

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城市老工业区创意转型路径研究:以北京石景山为例     

尹贻梅  刘志高  刘卫东  戴俊骋 《地理与地理信息科学》2011,27(6):55-60

城市老工业区改造是当今城市发展面临的一个重要科学问题。近年来,发展创意产业成为发达国家和地区实现老工业城市再生的重要战略举措。国外对老工业城市创意转型的研究主要集中在老工业区创意转型的现状与成效,而较少对其机理层面进行理论剖析。该文以路径依赖和路径创新为理论依据,以北京石景山老工业区创意产业发展为例,研究城市老工业区创意产业发展的路径和机理。介绍了路径依赖、锁定、路径创新等概念及其对老工业区转型的解释;分析了石景山老工业区的历史由来及存在的问题,探索了石景山老工业区创意产业的发展路径,即工业设计与研发、数字娱乐产业和娱乐休闲旅游业;最后提出政府在转型过程中所应承担的责任。  相似文献   

Mexico's drug networks: Modeling the smuggling routes towards the United States     

《Applied geography (Sevenoaks, England)》2015

Drug smuggling routes are chosen to maximize profit while minimizing costs. Routes with the least drug transportation costs and the lowest risk for drug confiscation and gang fight are most preferred. This study attempts to predict the ground trafficking corridors for transporting marijuana and opium derivatives from Mexico to the United States border. The cost surface, representing impedance to transport illicit drugs, is modeled by considering physical, socio-demographic, and drug violence factors. The impedance is then transferred to the road network to represent the cost for moving drugs along the roads, which becomes the main input for network analysis. The results from the routes simulation confirm largely the known territory divisions and the drug trafficking routes of the major Mexican drug organizations. The findings help us understand the development of drug trafficking routes in Mexico, which can potentially enhance our capability to predict the dynamics of drug smuggling routes.  相似文献   

Stress‐dependent hardening and failure surfaces of dry sand     

W. Ehlers  O. Avci 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2013,37(8):787-809

During several triaxial compression experiments on plastic hardening, softening, and failure properties of dense sand specimens, it was found on various stress paths that the size of the failure surface was not constant. Instead, it changed depending on the current state of hydrostatic pressure. This finding is in contrast to the standard opinion consisting of the fact that the failure surface remains constant, once it has been reached during an experiment or in situ. In general, the behaviour of cohesionless granular‐material‐like sand is somehow characterised in between fluid and solid, where the solid behaviour results from the angle of internal friction and the confining pressure. Although the friction angle is an intrinsic material property, the confining pressure varies with the boundary conditions, thus defining different solid properties like plastic hardening, softening, and also failure. Based on our findings, it was the goal of the present contribution to introduce an improved setting for the plastic strain hardening and softening behaviour including the newly found yield properties at the limit state. For the identification of the material parameters, a complete triaxial experimental analysis of the tested sand is given. The overall elasto‐plasticity concept is validated by numerical computations of several laboratory foundation‐ and slope‐failure experiments. The performance of the proposed approach is compared with the standard concept of a constant failure surface, where the corresponding yield surfaces are understood as contours of equivalent plastic work or plastic strain. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Tectonic interpretation of metamorphic tectonites: integrating compositional mapping,microstructural analysis and in situ monazite dating     

M. L. WILLIAMS  M. J. JERCINOVIC 《Journal of Metamorphic Geology》2012,30(7):739-752

Interpreting tectonic histories from metamorphic tectonites requires an understanding of the linkages and feedbacks between deformation and metamorphism. Relationships between deformation and metamorphism can be divided into two broad groups: active and passive. Active relationships involve direct interactions whereby deformation directly influences metamorphic reactions or metamorphism directly affects the rate or style of deformation. One of the most important ‘active’ relationships is the role that deformation plays in helping to remove unstable reactant phases and to promote the growth of stable product phases. Passive relationships are correlations or linkages that allow the deformation history to be integrated with the metamorphic history. Compositional mapping of major and accessory phases and especially maps of larger thin section domains are particularly valuable for evaluating strain partitioning, scales of equilibrium, relationships between metamorphic textures and deformational fabrics, and in particular, for interpreting geochronological data. Petrological pseudosections are an increasingly utilized tool for interpreting microtextures and for linking deformation, metamorphism, and large‐scale tectonics. In situ geochronology and petrological analysis of chronometer phases (i.e. monazite, xenotime, titanite, allanite, etc.) are a critical part of tectonic analysis of metamorphic rocks. The electron microprobe plays an essential role in characterizing chronometer phases and placing them into the context of silicate fabrics and textures.  相似文献